Tuesday, 19 September 2017

Russia shines light on the shady anti-Syrian coalition of the US, Kurds and jihadists

Russia has made a statement with only two logical conclusions: Either the US and its Kurdish proxies are lying about the nature of an alleged strike on SDF positions or otherwise, the Kurdish led SDF is embedded among ISIS.
Russia has rejected claims from the United States and their Kurdish led proxy militants SDF that the Russian Aerospace Forces along with the Syrian Arab Air force targeted an SDF position in Deir ez-Zor East of the Euphrates.
Legally speaking, the entire argument it moot as Syria has declared the SDF an illegal group and therefore a legitimate target as Syria works with its legal partners to liberate Syria. Syria has said openly it will fight the SDF if necessary in the battle to liberate Syria from all illegitimate forces. Hence the notion of some sort of agreement between the SDF and Syria, tenuous as it always was, can now be confirmed as ‘fake news’ or perhaps better put, wishful speculation by pro-Kurdish elements.
However, in practical terms, it highlights the very real possibility that as ISIS continues to dwindle as a formidable military force, Syria and Kurdish militants may very likely come into increasingly intense conflicts in a ‘rush for territory’ in formerly ISIS occupied parts of what is legal Syrian territory, even as Russia seeks to prevent further clashes without directly interfering in Syrian affairs. In this sense Russia’s ability to stop such clashes is self-limiting due to Russia’s respect for the realities of international law.
As I wrote, shortly before the alleged incident involving Syria/Russia and the SDF,
“Throughout the conflict in Syria, the Syrian Arab Army and its Russian/Iranian and Hezbollah allies have tended to operate in different regions vis-a-vis the Kurdish led US proxy army known as the SDF.
Over the last year however, this has increasingly changed. As Syrian forces along with their allies continue to liberate Deir ez-Zor city which has been under ISIS occupation for the last three years, reports have surfaced indicating that a faction of the SDF is only a few short kilometres away from Syrian forces as the SDF approaches the city from the north.
With the SDF and the Syrian Arab Army now effectively competing for territory which will be inevitably re-gained from ISIS by either force, the previous unspoken agreement that the SDF would more or less have free reign east of the Euphrates, might no longer apply. In many respects this is now a question of ‘when’ rather than ‘if.
As Deir ez-Zor lies just west of the Euphrates and with Syria intent on exercising its right to liberate “ever inch of Syria”, the question now is, what will the major foreign powers do to either prevent or encourage conflict between Kurdish militants and the Syrian Arab Army?
Before exploring the answers to such questions, it is necessary to understand that according to international law, only the Syrian Arab Army and its allies have any right to operate in Syria. The United States remains in Syria in contravention to international law, but because the US shows little respect for international law, it is necessary to explore the various scenarios bearing this unfortunate situation in mind.
The first major test of how the SAA and SDF would interact with one another when coming face to face on the battlefield, took place in June of 2017.
At that time, the United States illegally shot down a Syrian fighter jet which the US alleges fired on SDF positions. Syria however claims that it was firing on ISIS/Daesh positions”.
It seems that the forecast about a forthcoming conflict between Syria and her partners versus the Kurdish proxies of the United States is now official in the context of the battle against ISIS turning into a battle for longer term control of legitimate Syrian territory.
However, the specific nature of yesterday’s incident is being openly challenged by Russia which maintains a line of communication with the United States which is intended to avoid incidents between parties which do not communicate directly, in this case the Syrian Arab Army and the SDF.
The Russian Defense Ministry has released the following statement, clarifying what really happened:
“To avoid unnecessary escalation, the command of the Russian troops in Syria revealed the boundaries of the military operation in Deir ez-Zor to the American partners through the existing communication channel.
Within the framework of this operation, the fighters, armored vehicles, and objects of terrorists are being destroyed on both western and eastern banks of the Euphrates.
At the same time, the Russian Air Force makes pinpoint strikes only on reconnaissance targets confirmed by several channels in IS-controlled areas.
ver the past few days, on the eastern bank of the Euphrates, Russian control and reconnaissance facilities have not identified a single combat of Islamic State terrorists with armed representatives of any ‘third force.’ Therefore, only representatives of the international coalition can answer the question as to how ‘opposition members’ or ‘military advisers of the international coalition’ managed to get to the IS-held areas in the eastern part of Deir ez-Zor without striking a blow”.
In summary, Russia has stated that the only way that SDF militants could have been wounded in the anti-ISIS strike is if such men were embedded among ISIS in what is universally accepted as ISIS occupied territory.
It has already been established that during the early days of the ongoing, slow-moving US/SDF assault on Raqqa, that SDF fighters allowed many ISIS commanders and fighters to escape towards Deir ez-Zor.
It has also been reported that the US air force has been airlifting ISIS commanders out of Deir ez-Zor via helicopter.
This all comes as the leader of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps has stated,
“We have documents showing the behavior of the Americans in Iraq and Syria. We know what the Americans did there; what they neglected and how they supported Daesh [Islamic State – IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL]”.
While putatively the SDF and ISIS are enemies and while the ISIS has never admitted directly helping ISIS, although it readily admits arming and funding groups whose strategy and ideology is identical to ISIS, including elements of al-Qaeda, it is becoming increasingly apparent from multiple sources, that the US relationship with ISIS is not as simple as the ‘non-relationship’ Washington promulgates through its public communications channels.
This could help explain why the US in Raqqa as it previously had done in Mosul, is moving so slowly against ISIS targets. By contrast Hezbollah moved rapidly against an ISIS and al-Qaeda de-facto alliances in Lebanon and Syria along with its partners are moving rapidly against ISIS in Deir ez-Zor, a city which is now vastly more well protected by ISIS than Raqqa is.
It seems that for the United States, thoughts of mission creep have taken priority over the publican stated mission itself.
The increasingly self-evident truth is that the US does not want to see any force preventing Syria from taking its country back fully defeated and this includes ISIS. As ISIS will soon be defeated in spite of this, it is becoming equally clear that the next big challenge for Syria will be fighting against a group openly aligned with the United States and this is the SDF.

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The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Blog!

Religious bigotry is alive and well in israel

Trend appears related to new practice of re-examining and revoking religious status of citizens already recognized as Jewish
Judy Maltz, Haaretz

17 September 2017
The number of Israelis featured on a blacklist of  “unmarriageable” individuals, maintained by the Chief Rabbinate, has grown exponentially over the past two years, a new document obtained through a Freedom of Information Act inquiry shows. The list refers to individuals who are recognized as Jewish in the Population Registry but who are prohibited from marrying in Israel for various reasons.
This spike, as documented in a recent petition to the Supreme Court, coincides with a relatively new practice embraced by the Chief Rabbinate: Over the past two years, its representatives have begun summoning immigrants, already recognized as Jewish and who married in Israel, for background checks after doubts were raised about the religious status of relatives seeking to marry in the country. In such cases, after the marriage applicants had their request to marry denied, their relatives in Israel were suddenly notified that their Jewish status was either revoked or awaiting clarification.
Jews cannot marry in Israel without providing evidence to the Chief Rabbinate that they are Jewish. Typically, that evidence consists of the marriage certificates of their parents or, in the case of Jews from abroad, letters of certification from their congregational rabbis. Immigrants are often asked to provide the names of relatives living in Israel who can vouch for them. The Chief Rabbinate has the sole authority over marriage and divorce of Jews in Israel. Without being approved by the Chief Rabbinate, Jews cannot marry legally in Israel.
According to the newly released document compiled by the administrative offices of Israel’s rabbinical courts, almost 900 Israelis were added in 2015 and 2016 to the list of “unmarriageable” individuals in the following two categories: “pending clarification” and “non-Jews.” In all cases, these were individuals who were previously registered as Jewish.
The Chief Rabbinate began compiling its blacklist of “unmarriageable” Israelis in 1954. Since then, the total number of individuals in these two categories has been fewer than 4,000. That means that 22 percent of them were added in the past two years alone. Other categories included on the blacklist are “mamzerim” (the offspring of relationships forbidden by Jewish law), individuals suspected of still being married or divorced couples who have resumed living together. The total number of individuals on the list, since it was first compiled, is close to 6,800.
These numbers were compiled by the administrative offices of Israel’s rabbinical courts in response to a Freedom of Information Inquiry submitted by ITIM, an organization that advocates on behalf of immigrants facing challenges from Israeli religious authorities.
They are cited in an appeal to the Supreme Court filed by the organization several weeks ago on behalf of four families in Israel whose members were recently added to the blacklist.
The appeal was filed after the highest court of the Chief Rabbinate ruled, on appeal, that its representatives are authorized to reexamine the Jewish credentials of Israelis who have already been recognized as Jews in Israel. The ruling was issued in December, just days after the Chief Rabbinate published a new regulation allowing it to investigate the religious status of Israelis even if they are not applying to marry in Israel and even if they were already recognized as Jewish for the purpose of marriage.
In its appeal, ITIM argues that the Chief Rabbinate does not have this authority. It also argues that such background checks constitute an invasion of privacy.
According to Rabbi Seth Farber, the founder and executive director of ITIM, never in the past have relatives of marriage applicants had their Jewish status revoked or subject to further clarification.
“The idea that the Chief Rabbinate can suddenly ‘un-Jew’ individuals,” he said, “is completely antithetical to halakha (Jewish religious law), which states that one must take the word of people who say they are Jewish,” he said.
Representing the four families whose Jewish status in Israel has been challenged are also the Center for Women’s Justice and the Rackman Center for the Advancement of the Status of Women at Bar-Ilan University.
One case involves an American-born woman who married an Israeli in a civil ceremony in Florida in 1984. The couple moved to Israel that year, and the woman and the couple’s oldest child converted to Judaism the following year. Both were subsequently registered as Jewish in the Population Registry, as were two daughters later born to the couple. A few years ago, the oldest daughter applied to marry in Israel. In the process, her mother was notified by a representative of the Chief Rabbinate that her marriage was no longer valid because she was not Jewish. Her daughter subsequently decided to marry in a civil ceremony in Cyprus. The couple’s other daughters were notified that their names had been added to the blacklist until further clarification.
A second case involves a family of immigrants from the former Soviet Union. Recently, a relative of theirs who applied to get married in Israel was rejected because he could not provide sufficient proof that he was Jewish. After he was rejected, all his family members, who had already been registered as Jewish, were notified that their Jewish status was now pending clarification. A third case involves another family that immigrated to Israel from the former Soviet Union. When a daughter of theirs applied to get married two years ago and was not able to provide sufficient proof of her Jewish ancestry, all her relatives in the country, who already had been registered as Jewish, were subsequently informed that their religious status was now also pending clarification.
The fourth case also involves a family of immigrants from the former Soviet Union. In this particular case, an investigation was launched when a member of the family sought to divorce her husband, citing domestic violence. The estranged husband, in response, claimed that his wife had converted to Christianity. Based on this claim, which the woman categorically denied, the Chief Rabbinate notified relatives, who had already been registered as Jewish, that their Jewish status was now pending clarification.
Commenting on the four cases, Farber said: “ Behind each story here are real families who have had the carpet pulled out from under their feet. Halachic Judaism is not meant to cause suffering. By initiating Jewishness investigations, the rabbinate is further undermining its historic role in Israel.”
A few months ago, it emerged that the Chief Rabbinate also maintains a blacklist of rabbis from abroad whose letters of certification for the purpose of marriage it does not honor. This controversial list was also obtained through a Freedom of Information Act inquiry. The Chief Rabbinate has since announced that it plans to make public a new list of criteria for approving rabbis from abroad for such letters of certification.

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The History of israeli Support for Oppression and Genocide across the World

(Part I)

For Israel, any sort of political, military or moral code could be violated if it leads to benefits for Zionist extremists.

Chilean President Augusto Pinochet meets with U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger in 1976.
Since taking the office in January 20, 2017, Donald Trump made many remarks that should have been reacted by Israelis in a normal condition. While avoiding any reference to Jewish victims from its official statement on International Holocaust Remembrance Day, visiting the monument commemorating the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising in Poland, and evading from referring to the suffering of the Jews in Second World war while he referred to Polish agonies, Donald Trump was never reacted by Israeli belligerent leaders. They were only the last ones to condemn Trump’s position in comparing Charlottesville neo-Nazis and white Supremacists to anti-racist activists.
Political and economic interests have always come first in Israel. Successive Israeli governments have abetted the genocides of other nations, preferring realpolitik to confronting anti-Semitism, Nazism, and the like.
The first Rabin Government did not balk at hosting Apartheid South Africa’s Prime Minister John Vorster in April 1976. He had been a member of a pro-Nazi group during World War II. The visit was part of Israel’s security relations with the apartheid regime. During his visit, Vorster laid a wreath at Yad Vashem.
That regime also developed chemical toxins for the murder of individuals in the liberation movements, which included scientific experiments on Africans. Such experiments were carried out on prisoners of war; after they were killed, their bodies were dumped by planes in the Atlantic Ocean.
Both the first Rabin Government and the Begin Government collaborated with the junta in Argentina, despite the fact that Jews were murdered by the regime between 1976 and 1983 in large numbers. Members of the military government supported Nazi ideology and the repression of dissidents included the use of Nazi expressions and symbols, even in torture chambers
In the 70s and 80s, Israeli governments sold arms to the military regimes in Bolivia. One of the senior figures in the Bolivian junta’s security establishment, which cast terror on the indigenous population, was senior Nazi criminal Klaus Barbie, head of the Gestapo in Lyon, who was nicknamed “The Butcher of Lyon.”
In the 70s and 80s, Israeli governments and IDF officers sold arms and training to the juntas in Guatemala, which carried out a genocide of around 200,000 people, most of them indigenous.
In 2016, Burmese (Myanmar) was provided with weapons and training to the special forces by Netanyahu Government. Myanmar government has been committing crimes against humanity in Rakhine State, against the Muslim Rohingya minority. Women and girls are being raped; civilians are being tortured, murdered, and disappeared.
These are only part of the Zionists’ crimes or the support they provided for the expansion of oppression across the world boosting their benefits in the so-called zones

(Part II)

The history of supports that the Zionist regime has provided for dictatorships around the world is filled with examples that should be registered in a long list.

South African Prime Minister Vorster meets with Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and Knesset members Menachem Begin and Moshe Dayan, during a reception at Jerusalem’s Hilton.
The Israeli regime, weak at the beginning in the mid of twentieth century, made attempts to favor the countries from which it could get a mutual support. From the US to Britain, Germany and smaller countries like Myanmar, the Zionists made a long history of lining up with dictatorships.
Between 1973 and 1991, Pinochet’s dictatorship in Chile received weapons and training from Israeli governments and the IDF. The regime committed crimes against humanity, disappeared thousands, and tortured tens of thousands. The Pinochet regime brought torture to new heights of cruelty, unseen in modern history.
Between 1991-1995, the second Rabin Government sold arms used in both the Rwandan Genocide and the Bosnian War. As early as mid-1992, reports and footage of concentration camps set up by the Serbs for Bosnian Muslims began to emerge. Detainees in these camps were starved and tortured, and their bodies were thrown to the animals. Additional findings attested to the existence of rape camps, where Serbs held Muslim and Croatian women. Yet Israeli arms exports did not stop.
It was revealed, in September 2016, that Israel is trying to ensure the lifting of sanctions against Sudan, following the latter’s abandonment of its alliance with Iran. This took place although no one can deny that Sudanese dictator Omar al-Bashir — wanted by the International Criminal Court for the genocide in Darfur — continues to commit grave crimes.
The Nazis and Nazi Collaborators (Punishment) Law (1950), The Israeli Law on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide (1950) and Article 16 of the Israeli Penal Law (added in 1994) were the Three laws which deals with offenses by “the Law of the Nations.” They have all stipulated universal jurisdiction in Israel for severe crimes under international law. In reality, these laws have been rendered null and void by the IDF, the Ministry of Defense, Israeli arms dealers, and senior Israeli officials.
The State of Israel’s fight against global anti-Semitism has been hollow from the beginning, in view of the racist elements underlying the ostensibly democratic regime within the Green Line and the military government in the occupied Palestinian territories, as well as Israel’s treatment of Mizrahi Jews, Ethiopian Jews, Palestinian citizens, refugees, and foreign workers.
One cannot fight anti-Semitism seriously without fighting racism inside and outside Israel, and without ending Israeli support for racist regimes across the world. One cannot speak of the lessons of the Holocaust while abetting the genocide of other nations, and even inviting murderers to lay wreaths at Yad Vashem.
Israel is the modern version of dictatorship from which no one could expect justice because it has been ruled mainly by dictators who excuse anything for the sake of reaching selfish and inhumane aims.

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عودة مصر: نهاية الحقبة السعودية

عودة مصر: نهاية الحقبة السعودية

ناصر قنديل

سبتمبر 19, 2017

– خلال عقدين أعقبا عودة مصر إلى جامعة الدول العربية بعد توقيع اتفاقيات كامب ديفيد، وسبقا انقلابات الربيع العربي، كانت الثلاثية السعودية المصرية السورية أقرب لثنائية سورية سعودية في إدارة الوضع العربي، وكان الدور المصري فيها شكلياً، من اتفاق الطائف في لبنان إلى قمة الكويت للمصالحات عام 2007، وكان معلوماً أنّ الحقبة السعودية التي حكمت الوضع العربي منذ رحيل جمال عبد الناصر بعد هزيمة مشروعه في حرب العام 1967، هي التي تختصر الوضع العربي، مع مراعاة معادلات القوة التي يفرضها وجود سورية وحضورها، قبل اتخاذ قرار الحرب بالتخلّص منها وإنهاء تمرّدها على المشروع السعودي القائم على التنسيق المعلن مع «إسرائيل» واعتبار «إسرائيل» حليفاً وإيران عدواً بديلاً، وتصفية حركات المقاومة بتهمة الإرهاب.
– قياس النجاح والفشل للحروب التي أطلقتها أميركا و«إسرائيل» تحت اسم الربيع العربي في المنطقة، يبدأ من قياس تعاظم أو تراجع الدور السعودي القيادي على المستوى العربي، وقياس اتجاه الوضع العربي لقدر من التعافي يُقاس بمدى تقدّم مصر للعب دور محوري في التسويات للأزمات التي تشهدها الساحات العربية المتفجّرة، وعلى هذين المستويين للقياس تبدو التطوّرات السياسية واضحة في عجز السعودية حتى عن الظهور كمرجع في انضمام جماعاتها في سورية لمناطق التهدئة، واضطرارها لإيكال المهمة لمصر، وما قد يبدو تلبية لرغبة سعودية من حركة مصرية في سورية، يصير في الواقع توقيتاً مصرياً مدروساً لحاجة سعودية تجنّب مصر مصادمات هي بغنى عنها، بدليل حركة مصرية بمروحة أوسع لا حضور سعودياً مباشراً فيها، كحال رعايتها للملفين الليبي والفلسطيني.
– الملفان الفلسطيني والليبي جزء من الأمن الوطني المصري، رغم حضور سعودي مؤثر مالياً وسياسياً على حركة طرف وازن في كلّ من الساحتين، من جهة محمود عباس والسلطة الفلسطينية في رام الله، ومن جهة مقابلة الجنرال خليفة حفتر ومؤسسة الجيش التي يقودها، لكن مصر تنجح بقوة الجوار والجغرافيا والثقل السكاني والعسكري، وبتوظيف استخباري دبلوماسي للأزمة القطرية، التي تشارك فيها مصر السعودية بخيارات واحدة، لكن لأسباب مختلفة، تتصل بدور قطري حقيقي في رعاية الإرهاب الذي تتعرّض له مصر من تنظيم الإخوان المسلمين، بينما تبدو الحجّة السعودية بوجه قطر حول الإرهاب ضعيفة وهزيلة وغير مقنعة، وقد تشاركا معاً هذه الرعاية، ولذلك تنجح مصر وليس السعودية في جلب أطراف كانت جزءاً من المنظومة القطرية في الساحتين الليبية والفلسطينية إلى تسويات ترعاها القاهرة، لا تحقق الأمن المصري الوطني بحسابات ضيقة ثنائية، بل من بوابة توظيف كلّ عناصر المشهد الفلسطيني والليبي الجديدين، لصناعة تسوية فلسطينية وتسوية ليبية، تضعان الساحتين على بوابة تطوّرات إيجابية تُخرجهما من التآكل.
– النجاح المصري في الملفين الفلسطيني والليبي سيؤهّل القاهرة للعب دور أكبر في التسوية السورية، حيث الصناعة الحقيقية لدور مصري جديد، يبشّر بمرحلة عربية جديدة، ولو بقي قياس الإقدام المصري هو درجة النضج السعودي، فالمزيد من المآزق التي يلقاها التخبّط السعودي في اليمن وسورية والعراق سيفرض نفسه على حكام الرياض لطلب المزيد من الوساطات المصرية ولعب المزيد من الأدوار في المزيد من الساحات.

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Army Crosses Eastern Bank of Euphrates River in Deir Ezzor

Deir Ezzor – A military source said that army units crossed the eastern bank of the Euphrates River during their continuous operations against ISIS terrorists in Deir Ezzor, SANA reported.
The source told SANA that the army units in cooperation with the allied forces, crossed the Euphrates river from the direction of al-Jafra towards Huweijet Saqr, where they are now fighting fierce battles against ISIS in the area.
Earlier, army units, in cooperation with the allied forces, continued to advance on all fighting axes against ISIS terrorist organization and established control over new points on the outskirts of Deir Ezzor city and its countryside.
SANA reporter in Deir Ezzor said that after the army units established control over al-Jafra village, they continued to advance and chase the remaining ISIS terrorists who fled towards Huweijet Saqr and established control over a number of points on the southeastern outskirts of the city and in the southeastern countryside on Deir Ezzor-al-Mayadin road after carrying out accurate operations, in which a number of terrorists were killed or injured, in addition to the destruction of their weapons and ammunitions.
In the western countryside, the reporter said that army units advanced to the direction of Ayn al-Bo-Jimaa and al-Kharita after they restored new points amid the withdrawal of terrorists Takfiri organization towards the remaining terrorist groups in specific locations in the desert.
The reporter said that the military operations resulted in the death of a number of terrorists, including Mohammad Aziz al-Hanto, Omar Jamil al-Alloum, Abdul-Hadi al-Alloum from al-Shaqra village.
Meanwhile, a group of locals ambushed a car belonging to ISIS near the railway in the vicinity of the city of al-Bukamal in the far eastern countryside of the province, destroying it and leaving all the five terrorists on board dead.
Two cargo planes carrying supplies for army forces land in Deir Ezzor Airport
Meanwhile, a military source said that the first two cargo planes landed at Deir Ezzor Airport carrying large quantities of needed materials to supply army forces operating in Deir Ezzor after the surroundings of the airport have been fully secured.
Army Seizes Large Amounts of Weapons in Salamiyeh Eastern Countryside

In Hama, army units seized huge amounts of machineguns, ammunition and rockets from the remnants of ISIS terrorists in the town of Abu Hanaya in the eastern countryside of Salamiyeh in Hama province, according to SANA.
SANA reporter said Monday that the army units, while combing Abu Hanaya town in Oqairbat district, found a workshop for the maintenance of weapons and arms, an ammunition depot and a garage including destroyed tanks belong to ISIS terrorists.
The reporter said that the depot includes hundreds of boxes containing explosives of various machineguns, ammunition bars and dozens of rocket thermal launchers.

Iraqi Army And Popular Mobilization Units Starts Push Towards Syrian Border Along Baghdad-Deir Ezzor Higway

Iraqi Army And Popular Mobilization Units Starts Push Towards Syrian Border Along Baghdad-Deir Ezzor Higway
PMU and army commanders during a meeting earlier in September
On September 19, the Iraqi Army and the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) launched an advance towards the Syrian border along the highway between the Iraqi capital of Baghdad and the Syrian city of Deir Ezzor.
According to Iraqi sources, the army and the PMU are aiming to liberate the ISIS-held towns of Rihaniyah and Anah located at the highway.
If these towns are liberated, they will become a foothold that would be used for a future operation to liberate the nearby town of Rawa from ISIS.
This advance will also allow to increase further pressure on ISIS along the border with Syria and especially in the ISIS border stronghold of al-Qaim.
Experts believe that these operations contribute to the Syrian Arab Army battle against ISIS in eastern Syria and unofficially support the Syrian-Iranian-Russian alliance in the ongoing race for Deir Ezzor province.
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Updated Saudi – Israeli cooperation in the Kurdish secession التعاون السعودي «الإسرائيلي» على الانفصال الكردي

“Mustafa Barzani, İsrailli General Sagi'yle (1965) Sagi, Irak'a karşı savaşan Kürtlerden ordu kurmakla görevliydi.”
“Mustafa Barzani, İsrailli General Sagi’yle (1965) Sagi, Irak’a karşı savaşan Kürtlerden ordu kurmakla görevliydi.”

There will be no tolerance with the formation of the secession even if it leads to war; it is the decision of Syria, Iraq, the region, and according to Russia. Let the Israelis and the Saudis pay attention well that they will not cover their defeat with an alternative war, since the unity of Syria and Iraq is not negotiable.

» Saudi – Israeli cooperation in the Kurdish secession

سبتمبر 17, 2017
Written by Nasser Kandil,
Away from the philosophical and the religious analysis which he used to write, the Israeli professor Yaron Friedman wrote in Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper an article that is full of important information, he depended on the high ratio of the readers of his articles in order to promote ideas and information, which cannot be published by any other newspaper but  Yedioth Ahronoth, because it has a degree of credibility and  required and well considered function due to the seriousness of its relation with the concept of the Israeli security.
The article is devoted to the project of forming unified Kurdish entity for the Kurds of Iraq, Syria, Iran, and Turkey based on the coincidence of two events, namely the approaching of the end of the war on ISIS in each of Iraq and Syria, and the enjoyment of the Kurds in the two countries of a special status and privacy that allow the presence of rare historic opportunity for the formation of Kurdish state according to his opinion. He called the Kurdish leader Massoud Barazani to do what Ben –Gurion did in 1948, to exploit the available opportunities and to be aware that the United States despite its official objection would eventually support the Kurdish state, hoping to gain an additional ally in the Middle East, So Barazani has to know that despite the political dangers, the military and the economic circumstances would be good for taking a decisive decision.
Freidman has explained the appropriate circumstances and the strategic convergence between Israel and Barzani’s aspirations for secession, by providing encouraging elements depended on important information, he said that Israel is the only party till now which announced publicly its support of the independence of the Kurds , but according to the information, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Jordan have agreed on supporting the independence of Kurdistan region in Iraq, provided that to establish military bases in the region to confront the future Iranian threat. According to Israel, it is of its interest to resume the relations which were with the Kurds in the seventies, where it trained the “Peshmerga” against the Iraqi regime; moreover, it wants to import oil from the Kurdish state. Politically, the support of Israel of the forming of a Kurdish state will have an active importance in facing Turkey’s support of Hamas Movement.
Freidman said that despite the aspirations of “the Kurdish people” which its number ranges between 30 and 40 million people, and which is distributed between four countries “ Iran, Syria, Iraq, and Turkey” that object its independence to establish an independent Kurdish state for many reasons; most importantly because the United States shows its anxiety to support this idea, because it affects the interests of its allies Iraq and Turkey, this is applied on Russia which wants to preserve the interests of its two allies Syria and Iran. Freidman added that the factor of time as it puts pressure on the Kurds, it opens for them the horizons to change the equations, he considered that the Kurds of Syria have to benefit from their military victories in Syria especially the occupation of Raqqa in order to win a political achievement, just for that they have to accelerate their political steps towards the independence, and to make use of the preoccupation of the Syrian army in its war on several fronts, because its success in resolving the battle with the opposition and “ISIS” will enable it to devote itself for fighting the Kurds in the northern of Syria. So the Kurds in Iraq and Syria have to make use of their important victories against ISIS in order to achieve a political gain.
The conclusion of Freidman’s speech is a great strategic bet that is supported by Israel and Saudi Arabia as Freidman’s article reveals. It is based on neglecting the unity of Turkey as an ally to Israel, since it is one of the priorities of Israel in the region, at the same time it reveals Saudi-Israeli understanding on getting used to the Russian-American understandings temporarily in preparation for strategic surprise that is represented by the Kurdish insistence in Iraq on a referendum that will lead to new dynamisms that will start to affect Iraqi factions that complain from the rule, and which like the talk about deepening the independence of the remaining regions either between the Shiites or the Sunnis, which Saudi Arabia was trying in an indirect way to apply their goals. It became clear that it wants to meet the confusion resulted from the referendum on the secession of Kurdistan in order to propose wider independence of the regions that have majorities of opposition  especially towards the choice represented by Iran in the region. Despite that the referendum will be devoted to the secession of the Kurds of Iraq, but it will create enthusiasm among the Syrian Kurdish leaderships to take the adventure depending on embroiling the Americans by imposing a fait accompli, but as Freidman said it is a choice that is welcomed and wished by Washington, but it is afraid to bear the consequences of the fight to impose it or to pay the bill of its failure, so it will leave it under experience. Freidman said that it is as the birth of the occupied entity in Palestine. So if the Kurds succeeded in imposing a fait accompli the Americans would enter into a settlement formula that depends of federalism for Syria, and wide confederation for Iraq that would preserve the form of a single state, but it will grant the new Kurdistan security, military, and diplomacy powers, thus this will lead to incoherent Iraqi state. While in Syria, it will agitate along with the Kurdish movement groups from the calm areas to impose a military fait accompli to defend it without getting involved in fighting. The new project as suggested by De Mistura before solving the situation in Aleppo is local self-management governments, so according to the Americans and their points of view it will be logical to propose a barter of ending the rebellion with a settlement entitled the federalism which will cover their staying in their military bases in Syria, and thus this will lead to Syria the desired weak country or the country which is lack of sovereignty by keeping the part which is dominated by the Kurds outside its control.
In the resistance axis Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, and the Iraqi allies, the question which is proposed is about the reason of the insistence of the Kurdish leadership in Iraq on the referendum, and the reason of the remaining of the Kurds of Syria outside the two paths of Geneva and Astana. The Kurdish option as an Israeli –Saudi bet is taken seriously. The Turkish heading towards Iran in order to have understanding on confronting the fragmented threat is an expression of awareness of risks. It is not excludable that after the referendum in the Iraqi Kurdistan, the lines of the commercial and economic communication with Kurdistan  as an area of rebellion will be blocked by the Iraqi government, and the closure of the Iranian-Turkish borders in front of oil and other forms of trade. Because Freidman forgot to tell the Kurds that there are not any land or air borders of Kurdistan, but only with those whom the secession aims to harm. Today’s time is different than yesterday in its forces, balances, equations, and the size of the will and the determination to win. Maybe this is a lesson for the Kurdish leaders in Syria which experienced in Afrin a simple experiment called the exchange of car numbers, and which did not last even twenty-four hours.
There will be no tolerance with the formation of the secession even if it leads to war; it is the decision of Syria, Iraq, the region, and according to Russia. Let the Israelis and the Saudis pay attention well that they will not cover their defeat with an alternative war, since the unity of Syria and Iraq is not negotiable.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

– لا تسامح مع قيام الانفصال ولو أدّى لحرب، هذا هو القرار في سورية، كما في العراق، كما في الإقليم، كما في الحساب الروسي، فلينتبه «الإسرائيليون» والسعوديون جيداً بأنهم لن يغطوا هزيمتهم بحرب بديلة، ووحدة سورية والعراق غير قابلة للتفاوض.

التعاون السعودي «الإسرائيلي» على الانفصال الكردي

ناصر قنديل

سبتمبر 13, 2017

– كتب البروفسور «الإسرائيلي» يارون فريدمان في صحيفة «يديعوت أحرونوت» مقالاً بعيداً عن التحليل الفلسفي والديني الذي يكتبه عادة، ومليئاً بالمعلومات المهمة، ما يعني مع نشره أنه اعتماد مدروس على نسبة القراء العالية التي تحوزها مقالاته لتسويق الأفكار والمعلومات التي تضمّنها، والتي لا يمكن لصحيفة كـ»يديعوت أحرونوت» أن تنشرها من دون أن تكون لها درجة من المصداقية والوظيفة المطلوبة والمدروسة لخطورة اتصالها بمفهوم الأمن «الإسرائيلي».

– المقال مخصّص لمشروع قيام كيان كردي موحّد لأكراد العراق وسورية وإيران وتركيا انطلاقاً من تزامن حدثين هما نهاية الحرب على داعش قريباً، في كلّ من العراق وسورية، وتمتّع الأكراد في البلدين بمكانة وخصوصية تتيحان، وفق رأيه، فرصة تاريخية لن تتكرّر لقيام دولة كردية، وقد دعا فريدمان، الزعيم الكردي مسعود البرزاني، الى القيام بما قام به بن غوريون عام 1948، واستغلال نافذة الفرص المتاحة أمامه، وإدراك أنّ الولايات المتحدة، ورغم معارضتها الرسمية، إلا أنّها ستؤيد في النهاية الدولة الكردية على أمل أن تكون حليفة إضافية لها في الشرق الأوسط. كما يجب على البرزاني معرفة أنه رغم الأخطار السياسية، فإنّ الظروف العسكرية والاقتصادية، ناضجة لاتخاذ قرار مصيري.

– يضيف فيردمان في شرح الظروف المناسبة والتلاقي الاستراتيجي بين «إسرائيل» وتطلعات البرزاني للانفصال وتقديم عناصر مشجّعة مشفوعة بمعلومات مهمة، فيقول، إنّ «إسرائيل» هي الوحيدة حتى الآن التي أعلنت علناً عن تأييدها لاستقلال الأكراد. لكن. وبحسب المعلومات، فإنّ السعودية والإمارات والأردن وافقت على تأييد استقلال إقليم كردستان في العراق، شرط إقامة قواعد عسكرية في الإقليم، لمواجهة التهديد الإيراني في المستقبل. وبالنسبة لـ «إسرائيل»، فإنّ من مصلحتها استئناف العلاقات التي كانت قائمة مع الأكراد في السبعينيات، حين قامت بتدريب «البيشمركة» ضدّ النظام العراقي، وترغب باستيراد النفط من الدولة الكردية. ومن الناحية السياسية، فإنّ تأييد «إسرائيل» لقيام دولة كردية، سيكون له وزن فاعل في مواجهة تأييد تركيا لحركة حماس.

– يقول فريدمان إنه بالرغم مما تبدو عليه آمال «الشعب الكردي»، الذي يتراوح عدده بين 30 – الى 40 مليون نسمة، ويتوزع بين أربع دول تعارض استقلاله – إيران وسورية والعراق وتركيا – لإقامة دولة كردية مستقلة، ضعيفة، لأسباب كثيرة، منها أنّ الولايات المتحدة تبدي حذرها لتأييد هذه الفكرة، لكونها تضرّ بمصالح حلفائها، العراق وتركيا، والأمر ذاته ينطبق على روسيا التي تريد الحفاظ على مصالح حليفيها، سورية وإيران. إلا أنّ فريدمان يضيف أنّ عامل الوقت يضغط على الأكراد، بمثل ما يفتح لهم الآفاق لتغيير المعادلات، معتبراً أنه يجب على أكراد سورية، الاستفادة من انتصاراتهم العسكرية في سورية، وخاصة احتلال الرقة، من أجل تحقيق إنجاز سياسي. لذلك، عليهم تسريع خطواتهم السياسية نحو الاستقلال، واستغلال انشغال الجيش السوري في حرب على جبهات عدة، لأنّ نجاحه في حسم المعركة، مع المعارضة و»داعش» سيمكنه من التفرّغ لمحاربة الأكراد شمال سورية. كما على الأكراد في العراق وسورية ضرب الحديد وهو حامٍ، واستغلال انتصاراتهم المهمة ضدّ «داعش» من أجل تحقيق ربح سياسي.

– الخلاصة التي يفتح بابها كلام فريدمان هي رهان استراتيجي كبير تلتقي على دعمه، خصوصاً «إسرائيل» مع السعودية، كما يكشف مقال فريدمان، ويقوم على إسقاط الاهتمام بوحدة تركيا كحليف لـ»إسرائيل» بصفتها إحدى الأولويات لحركة «إسرائيل» في المنطقة، وفي المقابل يكشف تفاهماً «إسرائيلياً» سعودياً على التأقلم مع التفاهمات الروسية الأميركية بصورة مؤقتة تمهيداً لمفاجأة استراتيجية يمثلها الإصرار الكردي في العراق على الاستفتاء وما سيخلقه من ديناميات جديدة، تبدأ بالتأثير على حركة شرائح عراقية متذمّرة من الحكم ويناسبها الحديث عن تعميق استقلال الأقاليم المتبقية سواء بين الشيعة أو السنة الذين تقوم السعودية بحركة لم تكن واضحة من قبل بأهدافها، وأبعادها، وصار مفهوماً أنها تريد ملاقاة الارتباك الناجم عن الاستفتاء على انفصال كردستان، لطرح استقلال أوسع لأقاليم ذات غالبيات معارضة، خصوصاً للخيار الذي تمثله إيران في المنطقة، والاستفتاء رغم كونه خاصاً بانفصال أكراد العراق إلا أنه سيخلق حماسة لدى القيادات الكردية السورية للمجازفة بخطوات تستند إلى ظاهر هو توريط الأميركيين، بفرض أمر واقع، لكنه كما يقول فريدمان، خيار ترحب به واشنطن وتتمنّاه وتنتظره، لكنها تخشى تحمّل تبعات القتال لفرضه، أو دفع فاتورة فشله، فستتركه يخوض غمار التجربة. وهذا ما يقول فريدمان إنه كان الحال يوم ولادة الكيان المحتلّ لفلسطين، عندها إذا نجح الأكراد بفرض أمر واقع، سيدخل الأميركيون بصيغة تسوية قوامها الفدرالية لسورية، وتقنين الفدرالية بكونفدرالية موسّعة للعراق تحفظ شكل الدولة الواحدة، لكنها تمنح كردستان الجديدة صلاحيات أمنية وعسكرية ودبلوماسية، وما يستنهضه ذلك من حالة لا تبقى فيها دولة عراقية متماسكة، أما في سورية فتستنهض مع حركة الأكراد لفرض أمر واقع عسكري والاستعداد للقتال دفاعاً عنه جماعات مناطق التهدئة لطلبات مماثلة دون تورّط بالقتال، والعنوان الجديد للمشروع، كما طرحه دي ميستورا قبيل حسم حلب هو حكومات محلية لإدارة ذاتية، وسيكون وفقاً للأميركيين ونظرتهم منطقياً طرح مقايضة إنهاء التمرّد بتسوية عنوانها الفدرالية التي ستغطي بقاءهم في قواعدهم العسكرية في سورية، وسيجعل سورية الدولة الرخوة المنشودة، أو الدولة المنقوصة السيادة ببقاء القسم الذي يسيطر عليه الأكراد خارج سلطتها.

– في محور المقاومة، إيران وسورية وحزب الله والحلفاء العراقيون، يطرح السؤال عن سبب إصرار القيادة الكردية في العراق على الاستفتاء، وسبب بقاء أكراد سورية خارج مسارَيْ أستانة وجنيف، ويؤخذ الخيار الكردي كرهان «إسرائيلي» سعودي على محمل الجدّ، والتحرك التركي نحو إيران للتفاهم على تعاون في مواجهة الخطر التفتيتي، تعبير عن إدراك المخاطر، ولا يستبعد أن يكون التعامل ما بعد الاستفتاء في كردستان العراق على مستوى قطع خطوط التواصل التجاري والاقتصادي مع كردستان كمنطقة تمرّد من جانب الحكومة العراقية، وإقفال الحدود الإيرانية والتركية أمام النفط وسائر أشكال التبادل التجاري، لأنّ ما نسي فريدمان قوله للأكراد أن لا حدود برية ولا بحرية لكردستان إلا مع الذين يهدف الانفصال لإلحاق الأذى بهم، وأنّ زمن اليوم غير زمن الأمس، بقواه وتوازناته ومعادلاته وحجم الإرادة والعزيمة على الخروج بنصر نظيف، عسى يكون ذلك درساً للقيادات الكردية في سورية التي اختبرت في عفرين تجربة بسيطة عنوانها استبدال أرقام السيارات ولم تصمد أربعاً وعشرين ساعة.

– لا تسامح مع قيام الانفصال ولو أدّى لحرب، هذا هو القرار في سورية، كما في العراق، كما في الإقليم، كما في الحساب الروسي، فلينتبه «الإسرائيليون» والسعوديون جيداً بأنهم لن يغطوا هزيمتهم بحرب بديلة، ووحدة سورية والعراق غير قابلة للتفاوض.

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